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Election 2024: As goes Pennsylvania, so goes the nation?

Pennsylvania, and its 19 Electoral College votes, will very likely decide the next president.

Pennsylvania, and its 19 Electoral College votes, will very likely decide the next president.


Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign made the obvious clear near the end of the Democratic National Convention. 

The presidential election will almost assuredly be decided by Pennsylvania and its 19 Electoral College votes

Former President Donald Trump and Ohio Sen. J.D. Vance have been all over the state in recent weeks. Harris and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz made their first joint appearance together here. And Harris' team revealed Thursday it has deployed more resources here than in any other battleground state. 

Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Harris' campaign manager, told a Pennsylvania delegates breakfast that the state is "our largest operation to date" with over 300 staffers on the ground at 36 field offices, according to The Inquirer. 

"We know that Pennsylvania is core to our pathway to victory." she said. 

The same could be said by the Trump campaign. And likely even more so. While Harris could conceivably find a way to reach 270 electoral votes without Pennsylvania, there is virtually no path for Trump without the state.

Here is a look at the recent poll numbers in Pennsylvania, via Real Clear Politics:

InsiderAdvantage (8/19): Trump 47, Harris 46
Rasmussen Reports (8/18): Trump 47, Harris 46
Emerson (8/16): Trump 49, Harris 48
Cook Political Report (8/14): Harris 49, Trump 48
Quinnipiac (8/14): Harris 50, Trump 47


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